Joe Biden can win the White House with seven different combinations of states he leads or is tied, provided he wins the states he leads by 5 or more points.
Biden has seven routes to the White House. Trump has one. He has to win Florida, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. A loss in any of these states means Joe Biden is the next President of the United States. pic.twitter.com/O4Yo2nnJNk
– Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) October 31, 2020
MSNBC's Richard Liu set out:
These are the battlefield states. Now I'm going to take another look at the polls average. President Trump is one step ahead in two states today. The two states where it was up about 1 percentage point – Texas and Ohio. That brings him to 181. All right. So still not at 270. Then all these other states here. You see them in gray. Joe Biden leads the polls on average. Lots of options that only deal with gray states which represent what are battlefield states. What I'm going to do now is give Joe Biden all the states he's gotten over you in
On average, 5% lead the polls today. Look at these numbers. It's up to 258. However, he's still just before the magic 270 times 12 and President Trump just before 89. So how did you get those numbers, all of which were said for both candidates?
There are seven ways for Joe Biden to come up with 270. There is a way for Donald Trump to get into the White House one more time. Yes, there is also the possibility of a tie. So let's look at how Joe Biden and the seven different ways he can get there. That's them – he can more or less only win one state to get above 270. Florida. He is now the next President of the United States. Pennsylvania too, 278. I can go on and on here. Georgia too, if Joe Biden wins Georgia. Also the next President of the United States. Option four, takes North Carolina only. Option five, Arizona and Iowa. Lots of different ways for Joe Biden to get over 270 and win.
However, it's a very different story here, Alex, when it comes to the President. Just one way for him to get there. That is, if he wins all five of those states that are currently the ones swinging. The only state he can give up or lose – Iowa. So you can see here, Alex, a very, very close possibility on either side, but Joe Biden has several possibilities. Donald Trump has one if you look at some of the dates we have today.
There is probably no state that makes the choice. The media continues to suffer from Florida 2000 Syndrome as it is always looking for a state or two that are close to each other and make decisions about everything.
If Biden North Carolina wins early, it is an omen that the whole hand wrestling over a close or controversial election is for nothing.
It would be better to be in Joe Biden's shoes than Trumps as the elections race through the last few hours.
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Mr. Easley is the Founder / Executive Editor, White House Press Pool, and a Congressional Correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a bachelor's degree in political science. His thesis focused on public order with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and professional memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the American Political Science Association